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您的位置 首页
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军事
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class="post-22342 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-mil">
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其实俄军目前在战场上的优势，主要就是两个：一是人力优势，可以不计代价地反复冲锋；二是空中支援优势，苏-34可以肆无忌惮地投掷滑翔制导炸弹，而不担心自己被击落。俄军目前这两年占领的土地，基本都是散兵冲锋+精确轰炸拿下来的。相比之下，双方在炮兵火力上的差距正在逐渐缩小，乌克兰和欧洲的炮弹产能正在迅速提高，再加上西方火炮的射程和精度更高，俄军在炮兵火力方面已经没有压倒性优势了。
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其实俄军目前在战场上的优势，主要就是两个：一是人力优势，可以不计代价地反复冲锋；二是空中支援优势，苏-34可以肆无忌惮地投掷滑翔制导炸弹，而不担心自己被击落。俄军目前这两年占领的土地，基本都是散兵冲锋+精确轰炸拿下来的。相比之下，双方在炮兵火力上的差距正在逐渐缩小，乌克兰和欧洲的炮弹产能正在迅速提高，再加上西方火炮的射程和精度更高，俄军在炮兵火力方面已经没有压倒性优势了。
俄军的人力优势，欧洲是无法对等支援的，填线的炮灰只能乌克兰自己出，而乌克兰本身的人力资源也接近枯竭，所以欧洲能帮乌克兰的，只有争夺制空权了。
不过目前欧洲只给了乌克兰几十架F-16战斗机，以及几架幻影2000，数量太少，而且根本不是苏-35的对手。欧洲的100多架F-35，虽然凭借隐身和先进的态势感知能力，足以压制所有俄军战机，但美国很可能不会允许欧洲用它来对抗俄罗斯。因此，欧洲想要动用空军帮乌克兰夺回制空权，只能用自己制造的战斗机，也就是“台风”、“阵风”和“鹰狮”。
这三款战斗机都是典型的四代半战机，综合性能和苏-35相比没什么优势，阵风和鹰狮在飞行性能上甚至还有不小的劣势。不过欧洲空军相对俄空天军有一个巨大优势，那就是预警机。
目前欧洲主要有两款预警机，分别是瑞典的“爱立眼”和法国的E-3F，咱们就拿比较差的“爱立眼”来对比。“爱立眼”配备了有源相控阵雷达，可同时跟踪300个目标，对1平米目标发现距离高达330公里，也就是说可以在600公里发现苏-35。“爱立眼”还只是一种小型涡桨预警机，E-3F则是一款大型喷气式预警机，探测距离就更远了。相比之下，俄军A-50U预警机只能在200公里的距离发现欧洲这三款战斗机。
造成这种差异的原因，除了俄军预警机的探测距离较短，也跟苏-35的雷达反射面积巨大有关。苏-35机体巨大，又完全没有隐身设计，空优挂载时的雷达反射面积高达15平米左右。相比之下，欧洲这三款战斗机均进行了一定程度的局部隐身设计，比如台风有半埋式挂架，阵风有锯齿设计，“鹰狮”则本身机体就极小，这使得三者的雷达反射面积只有1-2平方米，大大压缩了被发现的距离。要知道，苏-57号称隐身战斗机，雷达反射面积也达到了0.5平米，比欧洲这三款战斗机没有好到哪里去，“爱立眼”依旧可以在250公里距离发现苏-57，E-3F的发现距离可能增加到300公里，所以一旦俄欧爆发空战，欧洲战斗机能够做到先敌发现。
有人会说了，俄罗斯有射程高达300公里的R-37M超远程空空导弹，欧洲战斗机虽然能先敌发现，但俄军战斗机可以先敌开火啊。
但是你要知道，R-37M这300公里的空空导弹的最大射程，都是高抛弹道打出来的。也就是导弹发射出去之后，先斜向上爬升到空气稀薄的平流层，这样滑翔飞行阻力最小，最后再俯冲攻击目标。由于空空导弹的发动机最多能工作几十秒，因此飞行几十公里，爬到弹道顶点就关机了，所以剩下几百公里全靠无动力滑翔，速度和高度都是下降的。
而一般来说，空空导弹的最大射程，是指速度下降到1马赫，高度下降到10000米时的射程。这个速度，想打战斗机纯属天方夜谭，也就能打一打笨重的预警机和加油机之类的目标。再加上R-37M又短又粗，机动性极差，发动机关机之后，一个高G机动就会急剧减速，因此想要用它打机动灵活的战斗机，必须逼近后发射。实战中，R-37M最远只在130公里外击落过乌军战机。
相比之下，欧洲的流星空空导弹，虽然最大射程150公里也是高抛弹道打出来的，但由于采用的是可变流量冲压发动机，末端有动力，而且由于导弹燃料减少，弹体变轻，末端动力甚至比初段更强，简直就是中距弹中的格斗弹，打9G目标都没问题，哪怕是带推力矢量的战斗机，也逃不过它的追击。所以超视距对射的话，俄军战机要吃大亏。
而如果进入近距格斗的话，双方飞机性能基本起鼓相当：俄军飞机有矢量，欧洲飞机有鸭翼，机头转向能力都极强。但是，欧洲战机的AIM-9X、IRIS-T、AIM-132要领先俄罗斯R-73半代，而苏俄引以为傲的头盔瞄准镜，欧洲战机也已普遍装备，所以近距格斗方面，俄军战机也占不到便宜。
综合来看，如果欧洲敢于亲自下场，帮乌军争夺制空权，俄军还真没有太好的办法。而失去了制空权，俄军精确制导炸弹的投掷数量就会大大减少，攻势就会遭到遏制。所以想要让普京尽快同意停火，恐怕就得是特朗普的制裁，加上欧洲战机亲自下场，双管齐下才行。美国那边倒没问题，问题是欧洲这边敢吗？
这还真说不准。最近，美国撤掉对乌情报支持后，法国空军马上排除一架E-3F预警机，在两架“阵风”战斗机的护航下，前往黑海执行了一次监视任务，最近距离克里米亚半岛仅有150公里。而英国首相斯塔默也曾表示，愿意在战后派遣战斗机在乌克兰设立“禁飞区”，以确保俄罗斯遵守停火协议。虽然现在说是战后才派遣，但西方人的话，你能信吗？
再考虑到俄欧先进战机数量对比悬殊——欧洲的“台风”战斗机将近500架，“阵风”战斗机也有200多架，“鹰狮”也有将近100架，而俄罗斯的先进制空战斗机苏-35、苏-30SM和苏-57加一起才200多架，欧洲难保不会动亲自下场的念头。要知道，法国已经同意为欧洲提供核保护伞了，这不就是准备大打出手的前奏吗？
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Warning: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in
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: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/site-url-qrcode.png)
: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/weixin-qrcode.png)
: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/weixin-code.png)
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: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/alipay-code.png)
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: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://q7.itc.cn/images01/20250318/08a01617f937461486c61ec5b4c762db.png&w=300&h=180)
: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://q7.itc.cn/images01/20250320/7862b8a5ce2f407a9344c2b47b561b51.jpeg&w=300&h=180)
: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=<br />
<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/images/9.jpg&w=300&h=180)
: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://q6.itc.cn/images01/20250319/8247271ee5294fb7a0ec10de26a2b139.png&w=300&h=180)
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://q1.itc.cn/images01/20250319/e186253f29cb477ea1036d630f0e5755.jpeg&w=300&h=180)
: (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
http://tkqdd.cn/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://q5.itc.cn/images01/20250318/ce417dc15e73448fb1ccff21fc3c3cd8.jpeg&w=300&h=180)
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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Warning: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in /www/wwwroot/www.wdpress.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php on line 2344
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